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Hydrogen Prices

Get accurate insights into the future price of green hydrogen for the German market. Based on industry-leading data and scenarios.

Comprehensive data for German hydrogen prices

Use the data to analyse how green hydrogen prices will affect your energy portfolio, assess the impacts on related projects, or calculate the profitability of electrolysers and future hydrogen infrastructure investments.

Our green hydrogen pricing model predicts monthly and yearly prices out to 2050. Trustworthy projections are built on data from a range of respected sources, including:

  • Power2Sim

  • Bankable Power Price Scenarios

  • Eurostat Energy Balance

  • Ten year network development plan (TYNDP)

  • Global H2 Cost Tool V3 (Institute of Energy Economics at the University of Cologne)

  • Hydrogen imports from Germany' (Agora Energiewende)

Our Hydrogen Prices product can be tailored to your individual market needs, providing bespoke insights for strategic planning.

Tailored for large industrial consumers, utility providers, and project developers, this tool provides insights into hydrogen’s price correlation with grey hydrogen, natural gas, and CO2 allowances. It also offers a detailed look into the potential future market structure for green hydrogen and the corresponding pricing mechanisms.

This includes comparisons to price trends in other commodities such as natural gas, oil, and grey hydrogen, enabling comprehensive market analysis.

Future-proof hydrogen pricing model

The Hydrogen Prices product provides a comprehensive price curve for green hydrogen, factoring in future European electricity prices using Power2Sim’s scenario modelling. The prices are calculated monthly, with projections available out to 2050.

As demand for green hydrogen grows, use the HPI to see the future direction of travel for the hydrogen market.

Hydrogen demand and EU Green Deal

The demand projections are based on our GoHydrogen power price scenario for Germany, which aligns with the EU’s climate neutrality targets. By 2050, hydrogen is expected to play a pivotal role in industrial sectors and transportation, driving the green energy transition.

Hydrogen price curve methodology

The hydrogen price is modelled as a reference price, not a market price, as there is no formal hydrogen exchange market yet. As a reference, we also incorporate the "Hydrix" from the EEX.

Our price curve is based on our power price scenarios for Germany, factoring in Guarantee of Origin prices through internal modelling.

Imports are also integrated into the model using external data from the TYNDP and the Global H2 Cost Tool V3.

Prices for each scenario are also adjusted accounting for costs such as transportation, taxes, and margins.

Delivery methods

Available as single projects or updated on a quarterly basis, the Hydrogen Price Index is delivered via an excel file containing all results and assumptions used. Added explanatory documentation makes the process easy to understand.

Stay ahead of market movements with data-driven hydrogen pricing

Verfügbar auf Deutsch