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Power price scenarios

Power price simulations out to 2065 give you a clear indication of future developments.

Scenarios overview:

Whether you’re investing in hydropower, BESS, or renewable projects, our power price scenarios give you the insights you need to succeed. With decades of modelling experience across Europe and the Nordics, we provide robust, transparent, and actionable forecasts tailored to your needs. 

Benefit from two complementary, bankable approaches to market modelling: systematic modelling for precise long-term planning, ideal for hydrology-driven markets like the Nordics based on the EMPS-model and fundamental scenarios based on our own energy market model, Power2Sim, for managing uncertainty across 18 European countries.

Available Scenarios:

  • Central Case: A baseline scenario reflecting current policy trajectories and market fundamentals. 

  • Central-Delayed EEG Case: An adjusted case considering slower policy implementation. 

  • Tensions: Examines a scenario of geopolitical or supply chain disruptions. 

  • Go Hydrogen: Focuses on an accelerated hydrogen economy transition. 

  • Stochastic-focused modelling: Evaluate the long-term impacts of weather variation in inflow, demand and renewable production on energy prices - with an approach tailored to the Nordics. 

  • Renewable integration: Explore how wind and solar interact with hydropower-dominated grids, providing insights into future power balance changes and impacts on the power prices.

  • Actionable results for strategic investments: Make quantified decisions for investments in hydropower, renewable projects, or flexibility solutions like BESS or green hydrogen, backed by scenario outputs designed for the Nordic market. 

Make informed decisions

Decide which energy sector investments are right for you, track the development of power prices across markets and assess the suitability of your business model. 
 
Evaluate investments in hydropower and renewable projects with Nordic-specific insights and tailored pricing forecasts. Our different modelling approaches provide a comprehensive understanding of market dynamics to guide strategic planning. 
 
Leading banks, investors and energy suppliers count on our support to assess the economic viability of projects and plants, trusting our well researched, independent results. 

Flexible data delivery with expert-led support

  • Expert-led support: Work closely with our energy market specialists across the Nordics and Europe to ensure full understanding of scenario results, tailored to your unique requirements. 

  • Continuous updates: Stay informed with quarterly updates, keeping your planning aligned with evolving market conditions. 

  • Platform vs. file delivery: For Nordic scenarios, access the data via our interactive platform for seamless analysis and updates. For European scenarios, receive reports in Excel and PowerPoint format, offering a detailed and customisable view of market insights. 

Explore tailored solutions

With so much data available, Montel Analytics often requires tailored solutions. Get in touch with our product experts so we can build the exact package to meet your needs.

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