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Nordics Power Outlook Summary Q2 2026

Understand the key themes shaping Nordic and Baltic power markets and explore the scenarios, assumptions and modelling framework behind Montel's long-term power price forecasts for the Nordics and Baltics.

The Nordics Power Outlook Q2 2026 summary highlights the key trends, market developments and long-term uncertainties shaping Nordic and Baltic power markets. Based on Montel’s latest analysis, it provides an overview of the assumptions, scenarios and market drivers that underpin our long-term power price forecasts.

Designed for investors, utilities, developers and energy-intensive businesses, this summary offers a snapshot of how factors such as commodity prices, electrification, renewable expansion and system flexibility could influence future market outcomes.

Inside the summary

  1. Key market developments influencing long-term prices
  2. Overview of the Base, High and Low scenarios
  3. Main assumptions for demand, renewables and transmission
  4. How the EMPS model simulates future market outcomes
  5. Preview of the analysis available in the full LTPO subscription on Montel SysPower

Key insights from the Q2 2026 update

Geopolitical tensions continue to support higher commodity price uncertainty

Middle East developments and LNG market risks increase long-term uncertainty around European power prices.

Flexibility is becoming a major value driver

Battery storage, demand response and interconnection play a growing role in balancing renewable-heavy systems.

Nordic power prices remain increasingly linked to Continental Europe

Cross-border flows and European market developments continue to shape Nordic price formation.

New technologies are moving from concept to modelling assumptions

Hydrogen, large-scale storage and SMRs are increasingly reflected in long-term market scenarios.

Looking for detailed price forecasts, datasets and country-level analysis?

The full Power Price Scenarios Report for the Nordics & Baltics covers:

  • Area price forecasts to 2066

  • Scenario datasets

  • Country and bidding zone analysis

  • Capture prices and market fundamentals

  • Access through Montel Syspower

Who is this report for?

The Nordics Power Outlook is designed for:

  • Investors evaluating Nordic energy assets

  • Utilities and power producers

  • Developers assessing long-term market risk

  • Corporates exploring future power procurement strategies

Access the summary

Complete the form to download your copy of the Nordics Power Outlook Summary Q2 2026 and gain insight into the future of Nordic and Baltic power markets.