European Electricity Market Summary 2025
How is Europe's energy system adapting to volatility, price signals and renewables buildout?
Key insights include
- Negative prices surge: over 500 hours of negative day-ahead prices recorded in countries like Germany, France, Spain and the Netherlands, driven by solar and wind oversupply and limited flexible demand.
- Renewable growth stalls: clean power share dropped to 73%, with hydro and wind underperforming due to weather and project delays. A new record for solar was the only bright spot.
- Demand keeps falling: despite electrification forecasts, power demand in 2025 was lower than 2024, 2022 and 2021, partly due to behind-the-meter solar and industrial offshoring.
- Q1 2026 outlook: volatility to continue with cold weather, negative prices, and geopolitical risks influencing gas and power prices.
- System stress ahead: market integration is increasing, but so is strain from Dunkelflaute events to grid stability risks like the major Iberian blackout in 2025.