Four futures for Europe’s power market: Inside Montel’s new long-term scenarios

Webinar overview

Montel is introducing its new scenario portfolio for the long-term development of European power markets. The webinar focuses on four scenarios: “Montel Estimate”, “Current Policy”, “Fast Transition” and “Slow Transition”. Which development pathways do they represent, how do their assumptions differ, and what has changed from the previous scenario set used in our European power price reports? Josephine Steppat, Senior Analyst at Montel, will explain the new scenario structure and show how different expectations for the energy transition, electrification and flexibility shape our long-term power price scenarios.

A particular highlight is the expert discussion with Andre Bosschaart, our country expert for the Netherlands. Using the new reference scenario, Montel Estimate, he will present the specific assumptions for the Dutch power market, covering renewable deployment, electricity demand, generation capacity and flexibility. He will explain why these assumptions were selected and how political targets, market developments and our assessment of their likely implementation inform the modelling. This will give you direct insight into the reasoning behind our scenarios and help you interpret the results for your long-term decisions.

Themes covered in the webinar

• · The four new Montel scenarios and their key differences

• · Comparison with the previous long-term scenario portfolio used for our European power price scenarios

• · The Netherlands in focus: our country expert presents the specific assumptions behind the new reference scenario, Montel Estimate, and explains the reasoning behind them

What will you learn in the webinar

• · How the new scenarios differ and which development pathways they represent

• · What has changed from the previous scenario set

• · Which assumptions underpin Montel Estimate for the Netherlands

• · How to interpret the new portfolio for long-term market analysis, PPA valuation and investment decisions

Who should attend this webinar

This webinar is designed for utilities, project developers, investors, electricity buyers and analysts who use long-term power market scenarios. It is particularly relevant for existing users of our European power price scenarios and anyone seeking a deeper understanding of our outlook for the Dutch power market.