Negative Pricing Forecasts: What Happens When You Remove Flexibility
Webinar agenda
Welcome and Introduction (approx. 3 min)
Brief introduction to the topic
What will the negative pricing forecast webinar cover?
Overview of Negative Power Prices in Europe (approx. 15 min)
What are negative prices and why do they occur?
European comparison: developments in different markets (e.g., France, Spain, Poland)
Focus on Germany: historical analysis of developments in recent years and discussion of the main influencing factors
How can negative prices be prevented?
Analysis: What happens if flexibility is removed from the power market regarding the number of negative prices in Germany until 2040? (approx. 32 min)
Analysis methodology
Market modelling based on our European power price scenarios
Assumptions for the sensitivity analyses
Presentation of the baseline scenario “Counterfactual”
Impact of flexible demand on the number of negative power prices
Potential to reduce negative prices: the sensitivities “Flex” and “Flex50”
Impact of large-scale battery storage on the number of negative power prices
Potential to reduce negative prices: the sensitivity “BESS”
Impact of regulation on the number of negative power prices
Potential to reduce negative prices: the sensitivities “Wind” and “Solar”
Q&A / Discussion (approx. 10 min)
Open Q&A session
Webinar description
Negative power prices have become an increasingly frequent phenomenon in many European power markets, driven by the rapid expansion of renewable energy sources and limited system flexibility. But how much can flexibility solutions help reduce these occurrences? We will explain more in our negative pricing webinar.
What will you learn in the negative pricing forecasts webinar?
In this webinar, we will provide an in-depth analysis of the impact of flexibility on negative power prices, with a particular focus on the German power market. We will start with a European perspective, highlighting market developments in countries such as France, Spain and Poland, before taking a closer look at Germany’s historical trends and key influencing factors.
Building on this foundation, we will present the results of our sensitivity analyses based on our European power price scenarios. These analyses explore how different flexibility options, such as the flexible demander and the integration of large-scale battery storage systems can influence the number of negative prices through to 2040 in Germany. We also briefly discuss how the 1-hour regulation affects the number of negative-price hours.
Who should attend the negative pricing forecasts webinar?
This session is designed for energy market analysts, utilities, policymakers, and other industry stakeholders who want to better understand the dynamics of flexibility in shaping future price developments and negative prices.
Why should I attend the negative pricing forecasts webinar?
Understand the drivers behind negative prices in European and German power markets.
Explore scenarios showing how demand-side flexibility and battery storage can mitigate negative price events.
Gain insights into how regulatory changes and market design influence the number of negative prices in Germany.
Q&A Session
A live discussion at the end of the webinar will allow participants to ask questions and engage directly with our experts.
